The likelihood of an addict relapsing depends on several factors, including the substance of abuse, the severity of addiction, the length of time in recovery, and the availability of ongoing support. It’s important to note that addiction is a chronic and relapsing disease, and relapse is a common part of the recovery process.

According to the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), the relapse rates for addiction are similar to those for other chronic diseases like hypertension, asthma, and diabetes. NIDA estimates that 40-60% of people in addiction recovery will relapse at some point during their lifetime.

However, it’s important to note that relapse does not necessarily mean that treatment has failed or that the individual cannot achieve long-term recovery. Relapse can be an opportunity for growth and learning, and can help individuals identify and address the underlying factors that may have contributed to their addiction.

Ongoing support, including therapy, support groups, and continued medical care, can help reduce the risk of relapse and support long-term recovery. It’s important for individuals in addiction recovery to work with their healthcare providers and support networks to develop a comprehensive relapse prevention plan.